We have had a few stray showers with the afternoon seabreeze, being fueled by the heat of the day, but most of us have remained dry with a good mix of clouds and sunshine.
The high pressure system that has had a firm grip on our weather pattern the last several weeks will slowly begin to glide to the east and into the central Gulf of Mexico. This opens up the door for abundant tropical moisture to flow in.
Tropical Wave Invest 91-L is still very disorganized today and the circulation around the wave is elongated and not well define. The Hurricane Hunters have again cancelled their trip to investigate the system due to the systems poor structure based on satellite trends. Despite this, the National Hurricane Center has a 60% chance of development.
Regardless whether this forms into Barry or not, as the high moves into the central Gulf, it will help usher in the moisture associated with this wave and funnel it northward over the next 12-36 hours. In addition, a large upper-level storm system in the Desert Southwest will begin moving east-northeast and also aid in driving the moisture along the Texas Gulf Coast and eventually into the Central Plains and upper Midwest.
Our best chances of rain will come tomorrow afternoon and all day Wednesday. Half an inch to one and a half inches of rain will be prevalent inland parts of the Coastal Bend. Along the coast, some the activity may be heavier and one to three inches may be possible and could potentially lead to some localized flash flooding.
By Thursday afternoon, the moisture will escape the region and upper-level high pressure will take over again and promote sunshine and very hot temperatures.
Considering that we are over two inches below normal in the rainfall department, we could use some rain, but too much of a good thing can quickly become hazardous. So if you receive a lot of rain in a short amount of time, remember not to cross flooded streets. Turn Around Don’t Drown!
Summary:
Tonight: Warm and steamy, moisture increasing…Low: 77 Wind: ESE 7-14 MPH
Tuesday: Increasing clouds, isolated showers/thundershowers, still hot…High: 91 Wind: ESE 10-20 MPH
Wednesday: Scattered to numerous showers/thundershowers, localized flooding possible with heavy
downpours…High: 87 Wind: SSE 10-20 MPH
Thursday: Rain begins to move out, temperatures heat up…High: 93 Wind: S 10-15 MPH
Friday: Sunshine returns, hot and steamy…High: 96 Wind: SE 10-15 MPH
Saturday: Sunny, breezy and very hot…High: 95 Wind: SSE 15-20 MPH & G
Sunday: A few more clouds, hot and breezy…High: 93 Wind: S 15-20 MPH & G
