NHC: 5-day tropical formation chance upgraded to 80%
A low-pressure system in the Gulf of Honduras now has an increased chance of development, but does not currently pose any risk to our area.
A low-pressure system in the Gulf of Honduras now has an increased chance of developing into a tropical storm, according to the National Hurricane Center.
The KRIS 6 Weather team has been following an area of low pressure in the Gulf of Honduras with a chance to develop into a tropical storm over the next five days.
Tropical outlook reports from the National Weather Service's Hurricane Center on Saturday afternoon forecasted a chance of tropical development over the next 48 hours as low, at 30 percent. However, formation chance for the next five days had been increased to 80 percent.
Satellite data and surface observations indicated that a broad low-pressure area had formed over the Gulf of Honduras, and the associated precipitation activity was showing signs of organization.
NWS expects continued gradual development in the area as the system moves slowly northwest across Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula over the remainder of the weekend. A tropical cyclone was reported likely to form early next week over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico as a result.
Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely to develop over portions of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands and Western Cuba from the system.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Sunday as needed.
KRIS 6 Weather is continuing to monitor the system, but at this time, it does not and is not expected to pose a threat to our area.