Interpreting And Using The NHC Forecast

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida is the official source for tropical cyclone advisories and forecasts and is responsible for issuing tropical cyclone watches and warnings for the United States.

These include: public advisories, forecast advisories, forecast discussions, wind speed probability forecasts, hurricane local statements, inland hurricane watches and warnings, and intermediate public advisories (every 2 to 3 hours close to landfall.)

  • The white uncertainty cone on the forecast advisory represents the 10-year average error. The center of the tropical cyclone will remain in the white error cone only 67% of the time.
  • Remember that hurricane conditions can be felt hundreds of miles away from the center of the storm.
  • DO NOT focus solely on the exact forecast track!
  • DO NOT wait for a hurricane watch or warning before implementing your initial preparations, as it may be too late to complete them.

Additional Weather Information

National Weather Service:

National Hurricane Center:

NWS 24-Hour Phone Recording: (361) 289-1861

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